Mr Davies is standing for the Tories despite his offences, with the Liberal Democrats widely expected to overturn the Conservatives' 8,000 majority from 2017. The Conservatives go into the Brecon by-election knowing the odds are against them retaining the seat in a vote called after the conviction of MP Chris Davies for expenses fraud. Boris Johnson faces crashing down to earth tomorrow with his first electoral setback since becoming Prime Minister as the Tories look set to lose a key Westminster seat.
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